Economy · Fed & Rates
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Economy
Kalshi
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps
Yes 3% No 97%$592 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting — Lisa Cook
Yes 6% No 94%$564 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps
Yes 1% No 99%$560 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference — Unchanged
Yes 24% No 76%$552 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Jan 2028 — Hike 25bps
Yes 12% No 88%$550 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed median dot plot in September 2026 — Above 3.7%
Yes 50% No 50%$549 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2027 — Hike >25bps
Yes 7% No 93%$549 Vol. ▲ 5% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Apr 2027 — Hike 25bps
Yes 3% No 97%$522 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 9
Yes 0% No 100%$515 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting — Above 5.25%
Yes 1% No 99%$512 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026 — Above $7.1 trillion
Yes 14% No 86%$500 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting — Anna Paulson
Yes 7% No 93%$500 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026 — Above $6.8 trillion
Yes 41% No 59%$488 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Hike 25bps
Yes 6% No 94%$470 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting — Above 0.50%
Yes 98% No 2%$467 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference — Pandemic
Yes 46% No 54%$467 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 5
Yes 0% No 100%$464 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2027 — Cut 25bps
Yes 9% No 91%$450 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference — Consumer Confidence
Yes 6% No 94%$438 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference — Good Day
Yes 85% No 15%$421 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Mar 2027 — Hike 25bps
Yes 11% No 89%$420 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026 — Above $6.4 trillion
Yes 87% No 13%$415 Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 2030 — Above 1.25%
Yes 72% No 28%$392 Vol. ▼ 7% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Jun 2027 — Hike >25bps
Yes 3% No 97%$391 Vol. ▲ 0% View →