Economy · Fed & Rates
565 markets
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Economy
Polymarket
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$2.1K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 41% No 59%$2.1K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 58% No 42%$2.1K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$2K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
Yes 11% No 89%$2K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 15% No 85%$2K Vol. ▲ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
Yes 0% No 100%$2K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 41% No 59%$1.9K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 33% No 67%$1.8K Vol. ▲ 3% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$1.7K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$1.3K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes 4% No 96%$1.2K Vol. ▼ 2% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$1K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026 — Fed maintains rate
Yes 66% No 34%$3.1M Vol. ▲ 8% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Next Fed rate hike — Before 2027
Yes 55% No 45%$2.3M Vol. ▼ 3% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026 — Cut 25bps
Yes 2% No 98%$1.5M Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026 — Hike 25bps
Yes 33% No 67%$1.5M Vol. ▼ 8% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed rate cut before 2027?
Yes 14% No 86%$933.3K Vol. ▼ 3% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026 — Hike >25bps
Yes 1% No 99%$779.5K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes 7% No 93%$530.6K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed decision in Sep 2026 — Cut >25bps
Yes 1% No 99%$336.2K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Next Fed rate hike — Before July 2027
Yes 75% No 25%$252.1K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting — Above 3.75%
Yes 38% No 62%$244.5K Vol. ▼ 5% View → -
Economy
Kalshi
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Yes 11% No 89%$172.8K Vol. ▲ 2% View →




