Economy
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Japan by August 31?
99%
chance — Yes
▲ 27% today
📊 Yes price history
99%
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Where to trade
| Provider | Yes price | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
Best odds |
99% | $5.5K | Trade |
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes
10%
No
90%
$756.1K Vol.
▲ 1%
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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
1%
No
99%
$686.3K Vol.
▼ 0%
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Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
Yes
100%
No
0%
$493.7K Vol.
▲ 6%
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