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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
19%
No
81%
$1.9M Vol.
▼ 6%
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Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
1%
No
99%
$748.9K Vol.
▼ 0%
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Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
0%
No
100%
$617.6K Vol.
▲ 0%
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Economy
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
66%
No
34%
$502.4K Vol.
▼ 2%
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Economy
Polymarket
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
Yes
100%
No
0%
$463K Vol.
▲ 36%
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Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
35%
No
65%
$360.6K Vol.
▲ 3%
Read Analysis →
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Economy
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 0% No 100%$312.1K Vol. ▼ 0% Read Analysis → -
Economy
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Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$214.1K Vol. ▼ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 33% No 67%$162.8K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 0% No 100%$158.4K Vol. ▲ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$139.3K Vol. ▼ 30% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$133.8K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$117.7K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Yes 100% No 0%$102.5K Vol. ▲ 12% Read Analysis → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$95.7K Vol. ▼ 8% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$90.1K Vol. ▼ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Yes 0% No 100%$84.4K Vol. ▼ 6% View → -
EconomyPolymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Yes 11% No 89%$80.5K Vol. ▼ 22% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 16% No 84%$79.2K Vol. ▼ 4% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$79.1K Vol. ▼ 2% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?
Yes 1% No 99%$78.9K Vol. ▼ 68% View → -
EconomyPolymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Yes 90% No 10%$74.1K Vol. ▲ 22% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 2% No 98%$73.1K Vol. ▼ 4% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Yes 0% No 100%$72.4K Vol. ▼ 0% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Yes 9% No 91%$58.7K Vol. ▼ 4% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 0% No 100%$57.5K Vol. ▼ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 56% No 44%$57.5K Vol. ▲ 2% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Yes 81% No 19%$56.2K Vol. ▲ 42% Read Analysis → -
Economy
Polymarket
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes 30% No 70%$54.9K Vol. ▲ 1% View → -
Economy
Polymarket
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 1% No 99%$53.7K Vol. ▲ 1% View →